Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. What we expect this year The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.. Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. Hes the most popular politician in Hawaii, thats for sure. Heres what the vote count could look like this year. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. campaign launch", "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor", "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. I want to bring people together.. Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. In this solidly blue state, the Democratic primaries are likely to determine the November winners. Democrats currently control the governorship and full congressional. Marco Rubio, Republican of Florida, wins re-election to the U.S. Senate. We rated every race in play in 2022. likelihood, a Democratic will win in 2022. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. . Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. Guns were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, with both Ms. Tokuda and Mr. Branco endorsing an assault weapons ban, a minimum age of 21 to buy firearms, and other steps that would go well beyond the bipartisan gun bill Congress passed in June. #7-500 Voters will pick their candidates to replace Gov. 99% Est. race changes, Ill be sure to explain why. Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Hawaiis First District, which covers the Honolulu metropolitan area, does not have a competitive race. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. Ron DeSantis, a hard-right conservative, is facing Representative Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor who switched parties. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. Ige is already taking shape", "Caldwell Schedules Campaign Fundraiser For Governor's Race", "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Is Mulling A Run For Governor", "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Announces Run for Governor", "Vicky Cayetano launches Democratic gubernatorial campaign", "Report: Hawaii's Kahele to run for governor instead of reelection", "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele announces bid for governor", "Kirk Caldwell Drops Out Of Race For Hawaii Governor", "Police Report Disputes Rep. Sharon Har's Statement about DUI Arrest", "NEW: Former Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI 01) is not ruling out running for governor in 2022. Josh Green would easily defeat his two main Democratic primary opponents. Pre-registration is available beginning at age 16. Activate your Digital Account now. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. 500 Ala Moana Blvd. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. , Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. Heres where we think votes remain. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? She is expected to win easily in November against Joe Akana, the winner of the Republican primary, for the seat being vacated by Representative Kai Kahele, a Democrat who opted to run for governor but lost. Alicia Parlapiano Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . Heres the state of the closest races: Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. But Ms. Tokuda, who is backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus, leads in polling. Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. North Carolina Senate. David Ige. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. Lazaro Gamio The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. Its hard to imagine how his numbers would dip to put him in danger., >> RELATED: Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, >> RELATED: Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi. He knows that Im supporting Josh. Lazaro Gamio Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. Nov. 8, 2022, Results will begin coming in at 6 p.m. Eastern as the first polls close in Indiana and Kentucky, but the pace will really pick up with a slew of closings at 7 and 8. No election. Arizonas Senate race is a currently tossup, according to our estimates. The Hawaii Poll was released just after Green and fellow Democratic gubernatorial candidates Vicky Cayetano and former Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell reported their latest fundraising figures. These mirages show that vote margins early in the night can change significantly. [7] Registration can be completed in the following ways: " Online: Visit olvr.hawaii.gov. Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. Kahele, who is from Hawaii County, saw his strongest support on Kauai. Republican John Duarte has inched in front of moderate Democrat Adam Gray, despite the fact this Central Valley district went for President Joe Biden by 11 points in 2020. Nate Cohn [6] The deadline to register to vote is 30 days before an election. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r