Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Without any further delay, lets get to our WM Phoenix Open picks with a focus on longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Now its Rorys turn. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour We hate touts. READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. The Twitter handle is a joke. Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Genesis: Justin Thomas. CrazyTown, USA. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Houston Open: Jason Day. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. World No. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Farmers: Jason Day. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. American Express: Brian Harman. McIlroy is intimately familiar with Bay Hill, though, as a past champion (2018) and with no finish worse than T13 in the past five starts here. Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Who are you taking? One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. 9 this week. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates No, he is not a tout. 2nd Chance Bet Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. | RoboTest, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Arnold Palmer As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 He hit another 25-1 shotat the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Honda: Sungjae Im. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. Bet with your head, not over it. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates follow. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. At Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. DFS Golf News. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? by Mastercard. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. One of the shortest hitters on TOUR, hell enjoy the added distance boost in store at elevation in TPC Scottsdales firm and fast conditions. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Full Leaderboard . Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. The 2022 tournament, the 86th edition, starts on Thursday 7th April and will conclude on Sunday 10th April. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. After two Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. A +900 top-10 golf longshots this week. which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on before locking in any of 2023! 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